Day before election day 2012 - my 50+ predictions...

Today is Monday, November 5, 2012 - the day before Election Day - and I am going to make more than 50 bold predictions about tomorrow's races!

I know a lot of pundits are hedging their bets when it comes to making absolute predictions, but I am not some weak, wishy-washy, namby-pamby wanna-be when it comes to calling political races.

That is why I'm going on the record right here and now to offer my predictions in more than 50 political races throughout the state of Delaware. You can screen capture this page now to show that I don't make any changes Tuesday night when the results come in - then compare my predictions with the results and you will see how accurate I am.

And while I am normally not a betting man, I'm willing to wager on any or all of these races - let me know how much money you want to put up!

OK, here's the predictions:

Senate District 1    Harris B. McDowell, III

Senate District 2    Margaret Rose Henry

Senate District 3    Robert I. Marshall
Senate District 7    Patricia M. Blevins

Senate District 9    Karen E. Peterson

Senate District 10  Bethany Hall-Long

Senate District 13  David B. McBride

Senate District 16  Colin Bonini

Senate District 17  Brian J. Bushweller

Senate District 18  Gary F. Simpson

Rep District 1   Charles Potter Jr.

Rep District 2    Stephanie T. Bolden

Rep District 3    Helene M. Keeley

Rep District 4    Gerald L. Brady

Rep District 5    Melanie George Smith

Rep District 9    Rebecca Walker

Rep District 12  Deborah D. Hudson

Rep District 13  John Mitchell

Rep District 14  Peter C. Schwartzkopf

Rep District 15  Valerie Longhurst

Rep District 16  James Johnson

Rep District 18  Michael Barbieri

Rep District 21  Michael Ramone

Rep District 24  Edward S. Osienski

Rep District 25  John A. Kowalko, Jr.

Rep District 26  John J. Viola

Rep District 27  Earl Jacques

Rep District 30  William R. Outten

Rep District 35  David L. Wilson

Rep District 36  Harvey R. Kenton

Rep District 39  Daniel B. Short

City of Wilmington Mayor  Dennis P. Williams

City Treasurer  Henry W. Supinski

President of City Council  Theopalis Gregory, Sr.

City Council District 1  Nnamdi O. Chukwuocha

City Council District 2  Ernest M. Congo II

City Council District 3  Darius Brown

City Council District 4  Hanifa Shabazz

City Council District 5  Samuel Prado

City Council District 6  Sherry Dorsey-Walker

City Council District 7  Robert A. Williams

City Council District 8  Charles M. Freel

New Castle County Clerk of the Peace  Kenneth W. Boulden Jr.

New Castle County Council District 7   George Smiley

New Castle County Council District 8   John J. Cartier

New Castle County Council District 10  Jea P. Street

New Castle County Council District 11  David L. Tackett

New Castle County Council District 12  William Bell

Kent County Clerk of the Peace    Loretta L. Wootten

Kent County Register of Wills   Harold K. Brode

Kent County Levy Court District 1   Brooks P. Banta

Kent County Levy Court District 3   Allan Angel

Sussex County Council District 1   Michael H. Vincent

some thoughts on street preachers...

So, there's another video making the rounds of street preachers doing their thing - and this led to some social media discussions about the practice and one of the biggest proponents of the practice, Ray Comfort. 

So, let me throw this out here: It was about four years ago (early 2008) when my church hosted a weekend conference that featured Ray Comfort. I did not attend the conference, but I was there Sunday morning when Mr. Comfort spoke. Below are a couple of e-mails I wrote at the time - the first one is to some members of my church who questioned why I did not attend the conference - the second is an e-mail I sent to Mr. Comfort's organization (and i'm including the response I got from them).

Here's excerpts from the first e-mail:

I had first heard about Mr. Comfort about a year ago and had checked out his web site and listened to his message, "Hell's Best Kept Secret." While I can certainly agree with the initial premise - that many churches are preaching a "feel good" message and many Christians don't focus on sharing their faith - I have a very hard time with the response Mr. Comfort proposes.  

With every e-mail I received from Living Waters and every time I would visit the web site I would look for something with which I could agree and support.  

What I have found is someone who picks on the easy targets - liberal Hollywood, godless evolutionists, etc. I found myself more and more uncomfortable with the tone and the tactics. Quite frankly, I disagree with his assessments of both groups and I am actively involved with discussions with representatives from both the film industry and the scientific/evolution fields in an effort to encourage real dialog and appreciation across the board. I believe there is much to be celebrated in the products coming out of the film industry and much to be learned from our friends in the fields of science - it is my hope that they will take a closer look at what real faith is rather than consistently turning to the tired stereotypes that are out there.  

I have to be perfectly honest, I believe that if every Christian were to adopt the Ray Comfort style of evangelism then the damage done to the cause of Christ would be tremendous. I believe that for every one person who may be converted to Christ through street preaching and confrontational evangelism that there are dozens, if not hundreds, who are turned off to the gospel message. I wholeheartedly detest the "what if this person were to die tomorrow" mindset which defies all logic. I am most uncomfortable with someone who treats their faith as a numbers game - implying that your worth as a Christian is based almost entirely on how many people you have "witnessed" to.  

I would argue that the cause of Christ is much better served by a body of believers who are doing what they are called to do, which starts with loving God with all their heart, soul, mind, and strength - and is quickly followed by loving their neighbors as themselves.

and here's the e-mail I sent to Mr. Comfort:

Mr. Comfort,
   I am a member of Hockessin Baptist Church in Delaware and heard you speak at our 9:00 service on Jan. 27. I hope your visit to Delaware was enjoyable and you found our church welcoming.
   I agree with your premise that far too many churches are focused on a "gospel light" approach at best and, more often than not, some very unscriptural teaching about health, wealth, and prosperity. I agree that some of the most popular pastors on the national stage are little more than motivational speakers without much biblical depth.
   However (and you know if you're getting an e-mail like this, there's going to be a "However"), I am concerned about the impact of some of your responses to that problem. I would ask that you prayerfully consider the following.
   I fear that your teachings could lead to one or more of the following unintended consequences: 

1. Christians believing that if they are not "witnessing" to everyone they meet then they are somehow falling short of their Christian duty (seriously, I know people who have felt this way)
2. Christians believing that by passing out tracts they are completely fulfilling their Christian duty
3. Christians seeing everyone as nothing but another potential convert (I think an appropriate comparison might be to that of a new life insurance salesman or Amway representative) - and I think most people know when their getting another rehearsed "pitch" as opposed to a real conversation
4. Christians seriously limiting their view of God's creativity (God can only save this person if I give them this tract, deliver this speech, and walk them through the sinner's prayer)
5. Christians developing an "us vs. them" mentality -- if the person doesn't respond in the correct way, we're ready to argue them over to our side 

   I believe the thing I found particularly difficult to comprehend was the story you told about a young man approaching you and stating he had doubts/questions about certain parts of scripture. You said your response was to first call the man a liar, then tell him he's insulting God with his doubts.
   The reason that caught my ear is that young man could have easily been me just a few years ago. That's when I started coming to Hockessin Baptist with a proverbial "boatload" of doubts and questions - I can safely say that if anyone had responded by telling me I was insulting God with my questions then I probably would have walked out and would not have returned.
   You see, Mr. Comfort, I also believe we serve a God who is OK with people's doubts and questions. Quite frankly, if you can read through the Bible and do not have questions, then I would seriously question your ability to reason. But I have found that by actually researching those questions, I have enjoyed a richer and fuller faith than I ever thought possible.
   So, what's my alternative? It's easy for me to criticize, you're probably thinking, but what do we do about a world that's going to Hell? Here's what I believe - I believe those who have chosen to follow Christ should immerse themselves in that relationship through prayer, bible-study, and fellowship - I believe that when those who are in Christ are living in that reality, then having the natural, real conversations with others flows effortlessly. 
   Again, I simply ask that you prayerfully consider this - I welcome any opportunity to discuss anything you would like - and I wish you and your ministry well.
   Thank you for taking the time to read this.
Sincerely,
Ken Grant

and here's the response:

Thank you very much for your message. We appreciate your comments and encouraging words. Please keep in mind that because of the sheer volume of emails we receive at times and our limited staff, it may be very difficult for us to send you a personal response. However, please understand that we greatly value your feedback and will strive to serve you to the very best of our ability. If you are in need of counseling, please contact your local pastor.
If you were writing to check on an order you placed online, please call us at the number below, or email us at orders@livingwaters.com for the quickest possible response (be sure you include your name and order number).
Until the whole world hears,
The Staff at Living Waters/Way of the Master(800)437-1893 Monday thru Friday,  8am - 4pm PST.